Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jakub Wiklacz won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 7, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Muin Gafurov wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Jakub Wiklacz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jakub Wiklacz threatens submissions; Muin Gafurov has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Muin Gafurov has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jakub Wiklacz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Muin Gafurov
Red Corner
VS
Jakub Wiklacz
Blue Corner
-126
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+108
(48%)
30
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muin GafurovW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs John Castaneda · Jun 23L
SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Oct 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 24W
vs Rinya Nakamura · Jan 25Jakub Wiklacz
oldest →latest
W
vs Patchy Mix · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muin GafurovMetricJakub Wiklacz
3.36
Strikes / min
3.40
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
55%
Strike defense
46%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
41%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muin GafurovJakub Wiklacz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muin Gafurov(5 fights)Jakub Wiklacz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.75.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+259.0-259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Muin Gafurov
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Jakub Wiklacz
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2