Welterweight
3 Rounds
Muslim Salikhov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 26, 2025·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupMuslim Salikhov: Well-roundedvsCarlos Leal: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Carlos Leal wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muslim Salikhov is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Carlos Leal has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Carlos Leal is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Muslim Salikhov has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Muslim Salikhov has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Carlos Leal has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Carlos Leal has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Muslim Salikhov
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Leal
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-490
(83%)
41
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muslim Salikhov
oldest →latest
L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 23L
KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24W
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24W
KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24L
KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25Carlos LealW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Oct 24W
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 25W
vs Chidi Njokuani · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muslim SalikhovMetricCarlos Leal
3.37
Strikes / min
8.75
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
7.78
62%
Strike defense
48%
1.07
TDs / 15 min
0.43
72%
Takedown defense
90%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muslim SalikhovCarlos Leal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)Carlos Leal(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+73.6-73.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Muslim Salikhov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Carlos Leal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4