Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nasrat Haqparast won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 1, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fightervsEsteban Ribovics: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Nasrat Haqparast wins(64.1%)
Actual result: Nasrat Haqparast wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Esteban Ribovics enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nasrat Haqparast
Red Corner
VS
Esteban Ribovics
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
30
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 22W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Esteban RibovicsW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Loik Radzhabov · Mar 23W
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jul 23W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · May 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 24W
vs Elves Brener · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nasrat HaqparastMetricEsteban Ribovics
6.36
Strikes / min
7.27
6.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
63%
Strike defense
54%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.35
86%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.36Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nasrat HaqparastEsteban Ribovics
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)Esteban Ribovics(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+48.6-48.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Esteban Ribovics
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6