Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nasrat Haqparast won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fightervsJamie Mullarkey: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Nasrat Haqparast wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Nasrat Haqparast wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nasrat Haqparast
Red Corner
VS
Jamie Mullarkey
Blue Corner
-198
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
30
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 22W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 23W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 23L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nasrat HaqparastMetricJamie Mullarkey
6.36
Strikes / min
4.10
6.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.28
63%
Strike defense
54%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
2.46
86%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nasrat HaqparastJamie Mullarkey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.6-28.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Jamie Mullarkey
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13