Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nasrat Haqparast won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 22, 2024·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fightervsJared Gordon: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Nasrat Haqparast wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
- Nasrat Haqparast has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nasrat Haqparast
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gordon
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
30
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 22W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Jared Gordon
oldest →latest
W
vs Leonardo Santos · Aug 22L
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 22W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nasrat HaqparastMetricJared Gordon
6.36
Strikes / min
5.57
6.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
63%
Strike defense
55%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.91
86%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.36Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nasrat HaqparastJared Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)Jared Gordon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Jared Gordon
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights16