Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nasrat Haqparast won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNasrat Haqparast: Pressure fightervsRafa Garcia: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Nasrat Haqparast wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Nasrat Haqparast wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nasrat Haqparast
Red Corner
VS
Rafa Garcia
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+415
(19%)
30
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →latest
W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25Rafa GarciaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Maheshate · Dec 22W
vs Clay Guida · Apr 23L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Oct 24W
vs Vinc Pichel · Mar 25W
KOvs Jared Gordon · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nasrat HaqparastMetricRafa Garcia
6.36
Strikes / min
4.28
6.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.42
63%
Strike defense
61%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
3.22
86%
Takedown defense
77%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)Rafa Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.7-35.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Nasrat Haqparast
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Rafa Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10