Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Natalia Silva won · U-DEC R3
NS
RN
Natalia SilvavsRose Namajunas
UFC Event · Saturday, January 24, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNatalia Silva: Elusive strikervsRose Namajunas: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Natalia Silva wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Natalia Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Natalia Silva
Red Corner
VS
Rose Namajunas
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
29
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Victoria Leonardo · May 23W
vs Andrea Lee · Aug 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Sep 23W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Natalia SilvaMetricRose Namajunas
4.81
Strikes / min
3.50
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
66%
Strike defense
63%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.47
90%
Takedown defense
62%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.45Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Natalia SilvaRose Namajunas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Natalia Silva(8 fights)Rose Namajunas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.7-8.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Natalia Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19