Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Natalia Silva won · KO/TKO R3
NS
TB
Natalia SilvavsTereza Bleda
UFC Event · Saturday, November 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNatalia Silva: Elusive strikervsTereza Bleda: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Natalia Silva wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Natalia Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
- Tereza Bleda has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Natalia Silva
Red Corner
VS
Tereza Bleda
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
29
Age
24
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'9"
165.1 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andrea Lee · Aug 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26Tereza Bleda
oldest →latest
W
vs Gabriella Fernandes · Jun 23L
KOvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Natalia SilvaMetricTereza Bleda
4.81
Strikes / min
2.92
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
66%
Strike defense
43%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.72
90%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.45Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Natalia SilvaTereza Bleda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Natalia Silva(8 fights)Tereza Bleda(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.7-16.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Natalia Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Tereza Bleda
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3