Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Natalia Silva won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 20, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNatalia Silva: Elusive strikervsVictoria Leonardo: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Natalia Silva wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Natalia Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Natalia Silva has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Natalia Silva
Red Corner
VS
Victoria Leonardo
Blue Corner
-1200
(92%)
Vegas Odds
+630
(14%)
29
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andrea Lee · Aug 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26Victoria Leonardo
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Manon Fiorot · Jan 21L
KOvs Melissa Gatto · Aug 21W
vs Mandy Bohm · Jul 22L
KOvs Wang Cong · Aug 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Natalia SilvaMetricVictoria Leonardo
4.81
Strikes / min
3.22
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
4.81
66%
Strike defense
47%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.57
90%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.45Δ 4.04 — meaningful gap-1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Natalia SilvaVictoria Leonardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Natalia Silva(8 fights)Victoria Leonardo(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.6-46.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Natalia Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Victoria Leonardo
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights5