Lightweight
3 Rounds
Natan Levy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNatan Levy: WrestlervsMike Breeden: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Natan Levy wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Natan Levy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natan Levy has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Breeden has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natan Levy (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Natan Levy
Red Corner
VS
Mike Breeden
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
34
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Natan Levy
oldest →latest
L
vs Rafa Garcia · Nov 21W
vs Genaro Valdez · Dec 22L
SUBvs Mike Davis · Mar 24Mike Breeden
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 21L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Aug 23W
KOvs Anshul Jubli · Oct 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Natan LevyMetricMike Breeden
3.70
Strikes / min
5.75
3.19
Strikes absorbed / min
7.28
58%
Strike defense
42%
5.03
TDs / 15 min
0.98
41%
Takedown defense
67%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Natan LevyMike Breeden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Natan Levy(4 fights)Mike Breeden(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.63.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Natan Levy
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Mike Breeden
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4