Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mike Davis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNatan Levy: WrestlervsMike Davis: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mike Davis wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Mike Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Davis has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natan Levy (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Natan Levy
Red Corner
VS
Mike Davis
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Natan LevyW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rafa Garcia · Nov 21W
vs Mike Breeden · Apr 22W
vs Genaro Valdez · Dec 22Mike Davis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thomas Gifford · Oct 19L
vs Mason Jones · Jan 21W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Oct 22L
vs Fares Ziam · Feb 25W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Natan LevyMetricMike Davis
3.70
Strikes / min
4.73
3.19
Strikes absorbed / min
5.23
58%
Strike defense
54%
5.03
TDs / 15 min
2.40
41%
Takedown defense
60%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.51Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Natan LevyMike Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Natan Levy(4 fights)Mike Davis(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.1-12.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Natan Levy
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Mike Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7