Lightweight
5 Rounds
Nate Diaz won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Diaz: Submission grapplervsJim Miller: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Nate Diaz wins(70.3%)
Actual result: Nate Diaz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Diaz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nate Diaz
Red Corner
VS
Jim Miller
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
41
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'8"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate Diaz
oldest →latest
L
vs Conor McGregor · Aug 16W
vs Anthony Pettis · Aug 19L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Nov 19L
vs Leon Edwards · Jun 21W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Sep 22Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate DiazMetricJim Miller
4.57
Strikes / min
2.92
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
1.49
41%
Takedown defense
47%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate DiazJim Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Diaz(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.831.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Nate Diaz
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39