Featherweight
3 Rounds
Julian Erosa won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, February 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Landwehr: Pressure fightervsJulian Erosa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Julian Erosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julian Erosa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nate Landwehr
Red Corner
VS
Julian Erosa
Blue Corner
-112
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-112
(53%)
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate LandwehrL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Austin Lingo · Mar 23L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 23W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate LandwehrMetricJulian Erosa
5.55
Strikes / min
6.18
5.96
Strikes absorbed / min
6.31
51%
Strike defense
48%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
1.73
71%
Takedown defense
61%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate LandwehrJulian Erosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Landwehr(10 fights)Julian Erosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.5-31.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Nate Landwehr
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18