Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Nate Maness won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Maness: Well-roundedvsTony Gravely: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Nate Maness wins(68.4%)
Actual result: Nate Maness wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Maness has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nate Maness
Red Corner
VS
Tony Gravely
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate ManessW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Nov 20L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jun 22L
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 22W
KOvs Mateus Mendonca · Oct 23W
vs Jimmy Flick · Jun 24Tony GravelyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Birchak · Apr 21W
vs Saimon Oliveira · Jan 22W
KOvs Johnny Munoz · Jun 22L
vs Javid Basharat · Sep 22L
vs Victor Henry · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate ManessMetricTony Gravely
3.14
Strikes / min
3.82
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.47
42%
Strike defense
44%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
5.40
80%
Takedown defense
52%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.74evenly matched on net striking-0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate ManessTony Gravely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Maness(7 fights)Tony Gravely(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.0-15.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Nate Maness
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Tony Gravely
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8