Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Maness: Well-roundedvsUmar Nurmagomedov: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Nate Maness wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Nate Maness
Red Corner
VS
Umar Nurmagomedov
Blue Corner
+650
(13%)
Vegas Odds
-950
(90%)
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate ManessW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Nov 20W
KOvs Tony Gravely · Sep 21L
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 22W
KOvs Mateus Mendonca · Oct 23W
vs Jimmy Flick · Jun 24Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate ManessMetricUmar Nurmagomedov
3.14
Strikes / min
3.86
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
1.86
42%
Strike defense
61%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
4.03
80%
Takedown defense
79%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.74Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap+2.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate ManessUmar Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Maness(7 fights)Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.3-13.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Nate Maness
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9