Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cezar Ferreira won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Marquardt: Well-roundedvsCezar Ferreira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Nate Marquardt wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Cezar Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Marquardt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Cezar Ferreira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
- Cezar Ferreira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nate Marquardt
Red Corner
VS
Cezar Ferreira
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate MarquardtL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 15L
KOvs Thiago Santos · May 16W
KOvs Tamdan McCrory · Oct 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Jan 17L
vs Vitor Belfort · Jun 17Cezar FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 16L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate MarquardtMetricCezar Ferreira
2.71
Strikes / min
1.90
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
2.69
70%
Takedown defense
84%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate MarquardtCezar Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Marquardt(10 fights)Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-75.875.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-104.0104.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Nate Marquardt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15