Welterweight
3 Rounds
Hector Lombard won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2013·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Marquardt: Well-roundedvsHector Lombard: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Hector Lombard wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Hector Lombard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Marquardt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nate Marquardt
Red Corner
VS
Hector Lombard
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
47
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate MarquardtL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Thiago Santos · May 16W
KOvs Tamdan McCrory · Oct 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Jan 17L
vs Vitor Belfort · Jun 17L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 17Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate MarquardtMetricHector Lombard
2.71
Strikes / min
3.02
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
1.69
70%
Takedown defense
77%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate MarquardtHector Lombard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Marquardt(10 fights)Hector Lombard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.3-16.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Nate Marquardt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11