Middleweight
3 Rounds
Nate Marquardt won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2016·Portland, Oregon, USA, USA
Style matchupNate Marquardt: Well-roundedvsTamdan McCrory: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tamdan McCrory wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Nate Marquardt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Marquardt enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Nate Marquardt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Tamdan McCrory has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Nate Marquardt has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tamdan McCrory (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Nate Marquardt
Red Corner
VS
Tamdan McCrory
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
47
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'4"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate MarquardtL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 15L
KOvs Thiago Santos · May 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Jan 17L
vs Vitor Belfort · Jun 17L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 17Tamdan McCrory
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Josh Samman · Dec 15L
KOvs Krzysztof Jotko · Jun 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate MarquardtMetricTamdan McCrory
2.71
Strikes / min
2.07
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
1.60
55%
Strike defense
46%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
2.28
70%
Takedown defense
33%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Marquardt(10 fights)Tamdan McCrory(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.424.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Nate Marquardt
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Tamdan McCrory
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3