Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Caolan Loughran won · S-DEC R3
NF
CL
Nathan FletchervsCaolan Loughran
UFC Event · Saturday, March 22, 2025London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupNathan Fletcher: WrestlervsCaolan Loughran: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Nathan Fletcher wins(77.8%)
Actual result: Caolan Loughran wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caolan Loughran has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nathan Fletcher
Red Corner
VS
Caolan Loughran
Blue Corner
-156
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+132
(43%)
28
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathan Fletcher
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Zygimantas Ramaska · Sep 24L
KOvs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 25Caolan Loughran
oldest →latest
L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 23W
vs Angel Pacheco · Mar 24L
vs Jake Hadley · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathan FletcherMetricCaolan Loughran
3.41
Strikes / min
4.73
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
5.20
57%
Strike defense
52%
3.37
TDs / 15 min
3.00
50%
Takedown defense
87%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.25Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nathan FletcherCaolan Loughran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathan Fletcher(3 fights)Caolan Loughran(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.8-30.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
Nathan Fletcher
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3
Caolan Loughran
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4