Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Casey Kenney won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsCasey Kenney: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Nathaniel Wood wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Casey Kenney wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Casey Kenney (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nathaniel Wood
Red Corner
VS
Casey Kenney
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-177
(64%)
33
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26Casey KenneyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 20W
SUBvs Louis Smolka · May 20W
vs Heili Alateng · Oct 20L
vs Dominick Cruz · Mar 21L
vs Song Yadong · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricCasey Kenney
5.64
Strikes / min
4.85
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
54%
Strike defense
58%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.09
73%
Takedown defense
61%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nathaniel WoodCasey Kenney
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Casey Kenney(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.32.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Nathaniel Wood
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Casey Kenney
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8