Featherweight
3 Rounds
Nathaniel Wood won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2022·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsCharles Rosa: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Nathaniel Wood wins(70.3%)
Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Nathaniel Wood has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Nathaniel Wood
Red Corner
VS
Charles Rosa
Blue Corner
-560
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+430
(19%)
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26Charles RosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kevin Aguilar · Jun 20L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs TJ Brown · Jan 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricCharles Rosa
5.64
Strikes / min
3.08
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
54%
Strike defense
47%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.67
73%
Takedown defense
38%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nathaniel WoodCharles Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Charles Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+57.6-57.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+448.0-448.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Nathaniel Wood
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Charles Rosa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13