Featherweight
3 Rounds
Nathaniel Wood won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsDaniel Pineda: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Nathaniel Wood wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Nathaniel Wood has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nathaniel Wood
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Pineda
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
33
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andre Fili · Jul 23L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26Daniel PinedaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 20L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricDaniel Pineda
5.64
Strikes / min
2.85
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
54%
Strike defense
45%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.42
73%
Takedown defense
54%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nathaniel WoodDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+65.5-65.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Nathaniel Wood
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13