Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Nathaniel Wood won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 25, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsJohn Castaneda: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: John Castaneda wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Nathaniel Wood
Red Corner
VS
John Castaneda
Blue Corner
-455
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26John CastanedaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Santos · Oct 22W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricJohn Castaneda
5.64
Strikes / min
4.95
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
1.49
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nathaniel WoodJohn Castaneda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)John Castaneda(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.3-32.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Nathaniel Wood
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
John Castaneda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8