Featherweight
3 Rounds
Nathaniel Wood won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsLosene Keita: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Nathaniel Wood wins(71.3%)
Actual result: Nathaniel Wood wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nathaniel Wood enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Losene Keita has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nathaniel Wood
Red Corner
VS
Losene Keita
Blue Corner
+194
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
33
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nathaniel WoodW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andre Fili · Jul 23L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25Losene KeitaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nathaniel WoodMetricLosene Keita
5.64
Strikes / min
3.47
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.47
54%
Strike defense
62%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap-1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nathaniel WoodLosene Keita
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Losene Keita(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+95.2-95.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Nathaniel Wood
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Losene Keita
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1