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Featherweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1543
Nathaniel Wood
Elo1558

Nathaniel WoodvsMairon SantosUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Fight begins in
Style matchupNathaniel Wood: Pressure fightervsMairon Santos: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Mairon Santos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Mairon Santos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Nathaniel Wood
Red Corner
VS
Mairon Santos
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1543
Elo
1558
33
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nathaniel WoodW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Oct 23
W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jul 24
W
vs Morgan Charriere · Mar 25
W
vs Jose Delgado · Oct 25
W
vs Losene Keita · Mar 26
latest
Mairon SantosW4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Kaan Ofli · Aug 24
W
vs Francis Marshall · Mar 25
W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · May 25
W
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nathaniel WoodMetricMairon Santos
5.64
Strikes / min
3.33
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.24
54%
Strike defense
65%
1.35
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
69%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.09
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901510153015501570← oldermost recent →
Nathaniel Wood(10 fights)Mairon Santos(4 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO75%

Historical win share: Mairon Santos earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission25%

Historical win share: Nathaniel Wood earned 27% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Nathaniel Wood

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14

Mairon Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4