Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Navajo Stirling won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 28, 2026·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupNavajo Stirling: Elusive strikervsBruno Lopes: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Navajo Stirling wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Navajo Stirling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Navajo Stirling enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Bruno Lopes has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Navajo Stirling has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Navajo Stirling
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Lopes
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
28
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Navajo StirlingW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tuco Tokkos · Dec 24W
vs Ivan Erslan · May 25W
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Sep 25Bruno Lopes
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Gadzhiyasulov · Jan 25L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Navajo StirlingMetricBruno Lopes
6.25
Strikes / min
2.88
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.21
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
1.93
82%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.58Δ 4.91 — meaningful gap-1.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Navajo StirlingBruno Lopes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Navajo Stirling(4 fights)Bruno Lopes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.8-43.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Navajo Stirling
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Bruno Lopes
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3