Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Navajo Stirling won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2024·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupNavajo Stirling: Elusive strikervsTuco Tokkos: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Navajo Stirling wins(67.7%)
Actual result: Navajo Stirling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Navajo Stirling enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Navajo Stirling has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Navajo Stirling has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Navajo Stirling
Red Corner
VS
Tuco Tokkos
Blue Corner
-750
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+525
(16%)
28
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Navajo StirlingW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ivan Erslan · May 25W
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Sep 25W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · Mar 26Tuco Tokkos
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Oumar Sy · May 24W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Navajo StirlingMetricTuco Tokkos
6.25
Strikes / min
2.12
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
58%
Strike defense
46%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
4.21
82%
Takedown defense
33%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.58Δ 5.73 — meaningful gap-2.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Navajo StirlingTuco Tokkos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Navajo Stirling(4 fights)Tuco Tokkos(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Navajo Stirling
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Tuco Tokkos
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3