Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsGeoff Neal: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geoff Neal has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Geoff Neal (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Geoff Neal
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'11"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Geoff NealL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricGeoff Neal
3.40
Strikes / min
5.02
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
5.50
51%
Strike defense
57%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.54
55%
Takedown defense
87%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnyGeoff Neal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Geoff Neal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+67.5-67.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-32.032.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14