Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ian Machado Garry won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 19, 2023·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsIan Machado Garry: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ian Machado Garry wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Ian Machado Garry wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ian Machado Garry has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Neil Magny has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Ian Machado Garry
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-500
(83%)
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Ian Machado GarryW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Geoff Neal · Feb 24W
vs Michael Page · Jun 24L
vs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 24W
vs Carlos Prates · Apr 25W
vs Belal Muhammad · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricIan Machado Garry
3.40
Strikes / min
4.78
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
51%
Strike defense
52%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.92
55%
Takedown defense
80%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96evenly matched on net striking+1.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnyIan Machado Garry
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Ian Machado Garry(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+110.2-110.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Ian Machado Garry
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8