Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Morales has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25W
KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Aug 26 Michael MoralesW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Adam Fugitt · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · May 25W
KOvs Sean Brady · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricMichael Morales
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Neil MagnyMichael Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Michael Morales(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.4|Blue +25.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Neil MagnyTargetMichael Morales
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Morales edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:05
Knockdowns0
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
