Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Morales won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 24, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsMichael Morales: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michael Morales wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Michael Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Morales has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Michael Morales
Blue Corner
+600
(14%)
Vegas Odds
-900
(90%)
38
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mike Malott · Jan 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Michael MoralesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Adam Fugitt · Jul 22W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 23W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · May 25W
KOvs Sean Brady · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricMichael Morales
3.40
Strikes / min
5.68
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
51%
Strike defense
53%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
1.04
55%
Takedown defense
89%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnyMichael Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Michael Morales(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+66.5-66.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Michael Morales
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7