Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 9, 2017·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
38
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
5'8"
203.2 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricRafael Dos Anjos
3.40
Strikes / min
3.48
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
51%
Strike defense
60%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
1.95
55%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnyRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.56.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+169.0-169.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32