Welterweight
3 Rounds
Seth Baczynski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, November 6, 2013·Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(69.9%)
Actual result: Seth Baczynski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Seth Baczynski enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Seth Baczynski threatens submissions; Neil Magny has lost 46% of fights by sub.
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Seth Baczynski
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Seth BaczynskiL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Pierce · Dec 12L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Aug 14L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Apr 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricSeth Baczynski
3.40
Strikes / min
3.08
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.89
55%
Takedown defense
48%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnySeth Baczynski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Seth Baczynski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.117.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11