Welterweight
3 Rounds
Shavkat Rakhmonov won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsShavkat Rakhmonov: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Shavkat Rakhmonov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov threatens submissions; Neil Magny has lost 46% of fights by sub.
- Shavkat Rakhmonov has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Blue Corner
+350
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-435
(81%)
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Shavkat RakhmonovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Jun 21W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Feb 22W
SUBvs Geoff Neal · Mar 23W
SUBvs Stephen Thompson · Dec 23W
vs Ian Machado Garry · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricShavkat Rakhmonov
3.40
Strikes / min
3.25
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
1.40
55%
Takedown defense
85%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96evenly matched on net striking+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnyShavkat Rakhmonov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Shavkat Rakhmonov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+102.0-102.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Shavkat Rakhmonov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7