Welterweight
3 Rounds
Yaroslav Amosov won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 13, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNeil Magny: WrestlervsYaroslav Amosov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Yaroslav Amosov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yaroslav Amosov threatens submissions; Neil Magny has lost 46% of fights by sub.
- Neil Magny has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Neil Magny
Red Corner
VS
Yaroslav Amosov
Blue Corner
+410
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
38
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Neil MagnyW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mike Malott · Jan 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25Yaroslav AmosovNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Neil MagnyMetricYaroslav Amosov
3.40
Strikes / min
2.65
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
1.38
51%
Strike defense
60%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
11.11
55%
Takedown defense
0%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
3.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.96evenly matched on net striking+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Neil MagnyYaroslav Amosov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Neil Magny(10 fights)Yaroslav Amosov(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+134.7-134.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37
Yaroslav Amosov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1