Middleweight
3 Rounds
Nick Catone won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupNick Catone: WrestlervsTom Watson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Nick Catone wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Nick Catone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Watson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nick Catone has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Nick Catone has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nick Catone has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nick Catone (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nick Catone
Red Corner
VS
Tom Watson
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
44
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick CatoneL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Costas Philippou · Mar 11L
KOvs Chris Camozzi · Jun 12L
SUBvs TJ Waldburger · Dec 12Tom WatsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stanislav Nedkov · Feb 13L
vs Thales Leites · Aug 13W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 14L
vs Rafael Natal · Jan 15L
vs Chris Camozzi · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick CatoneMetricTom Watson
2.11
Strikes / min
4.01
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
4.41
63%
Strike defense
50%
3.71
TDs / 15 min
0.15
83%
Takedown defense
43%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.21evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nick CatoneTom Watson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Catone(4 fights)Tom Watson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.64.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+231.0-231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Nick Catone
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Tom Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7