Welterweight
3 Rounds
Greg Soto won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupNick Osipczak: Submission grapplervsGreg Soto: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Greg Soto wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Greg Soto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nick Osipczak has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nick Osipczak
Red Corner
VS
Greg Soto
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick OsipczakL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rick Story · Apr 10L
vs Duane Ludwig · Nov 10Greg SotoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Matthew Riddle · Mar 10L
SUBvs Daniel Roberts · Jan 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick OsipczakMetricGreg Soto
2.83
Strikes / min
3.21
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
50%
Strike defense
52%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
1.49
71%
Takedown defense
44%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.94Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nick OsipczakGreg Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Osipczak(3 fights)Greg Soto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Nick Osipczak
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3
Greg Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3