Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Cody Donovan won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Cody Donovan wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Cody Donovan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Donovan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cody Donovan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Nick Penner has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Nick Penner has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nick Penner (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nick Penner
Red Corner
VS
Cody Donovan
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
46
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick Penner
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Perosh · Mar 12Cody DonovanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Aug 13L
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 13L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick PennerMetricCody Donovan
1.25
Strikes / min
5.61
4.60
Strikes absorbed / min
5.44
38%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.67
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.35Δ 3.52 — meaningful gap+0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nick PennerCody Donovan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Penner(2 fights)Cody Donovan(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.514.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Nick Penner
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Cody Donovan
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4