Welterweight
3 Rounds
Nicolas Dalby won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 28, 2019·Copenhagen, Denmark, Denmark
Style matchupNicolas Dalby: Well-roundedvsAlex Oliveira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Nicolas Dalby wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Nicolas Dalby wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Nicolas Dalby
Red Corner
VS
Alex Oliveira
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23W
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nicolas DalbyMetricAlex Oliveira
3.88
Strikes / min
2.99
3.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
52%
Strike defense
46%
0.90
TDs / 15 min
2.35
59%
Takedown defense
63%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nicolas DalbyAlex Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)Alex Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-82.682.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+966.0-966.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21