Lightweight
3 Rounds
Islam Makhachev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2017·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupNik Lentz: WrestlervsIslam Makhachev: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Islam Makhachev has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Islam Makhachev has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nik Lentz
Red Corner
VS
Islam Makhachev
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
41
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricIslam Makhachev
3.44
Strikes / min
2.45
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
1.45
50%
Strike defense
61%
3.30
TDs / 15 min
3.10
43%
Takedown defense
91%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nik LentzIslam Makhachev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Islam Makhachev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+58.2-58.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Islam Makhachev
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18