Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 10, 2016·Cleveland, Ohio, USA, USA
Style matchupNik Lentz: WrestlervsMichael McBride: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Nik Lentz wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nik Lentz has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Michael McBride has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nik Lentz
Red Corner
VS
Michael McBride
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
41
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
172.72 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Michael McBride
oldest →latest
L
vs Scott Holtzman · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricMichael McBride
3.44
Strikes / min
4.08
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
5.85
50%
Strike defense
40%
3.30
TDs / 15 min
1.85
43%
Takedown defense
30%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nik LentzMichael McBride
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Michael McBride(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+65.5-65.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.147.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Michael McBride
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights2