Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Movsar Evloev won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, January 23, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupNik Lentz: WrestlervsMovsar Evloev: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Movsar Evloev wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Movsar Evloev has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Movsar Evloev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nik Lentz
Red Corner
VS
Movsar Evloev
Blue Corner
+390
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-560
(85%)
41
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 22W
vs Diego Lopes · May 23W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricMovsar Evloev
3.44
Strikes / min
3.91
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
50%
Strike defense
61%
3.30
TDs / 15 min
4.78
43%
Takedown defense
61%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nik LentzMovsar Evloev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Movsar Evloev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.7-4.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.4-2.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Movsar Evloev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10