Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 18, 2017·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupNik Lentz: WrestlervsWill Brooks: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Nik Lentz wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Will Brooks has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Will Brooks has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Nik Lentz
Red Corner
VS
Will Brooks
Blue Corner
+345
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-430
(81%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Will BrooksL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Oct 16L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nik LentzMetricWill Brooks
3.44
Strikes / min
4.26
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
50%
Strike defense
56%
3.30
TDs / 15 min
2.08
43%
Takedown defense
82%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+1.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nik LentzWill Brooks
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nik Lentz(10 fights)Will Brooks(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.8-72.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Will Brooks
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4