Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Bogdan Guskov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 26, 2025·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupNikita Krylov: WrestlervsBogdan Guskov: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Nikita Krylov wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Bogdan Guskov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nikita Krylov threatens submissions; Bogdan Guskov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Nikita Krylov
Red Corner
VS
Bogdan Guskov
Blue Corner
-196
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 22W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Oct 22W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26Bogdan Guskov
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Volkan Oezdemir · Sep 23W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Feb 24W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Apr 24W
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 25D
vs Jan Blachowicz · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricBogdan Guskov
4.36
Strikes / min
4.57
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
47%
Strike defense
44%
2.05
TDs / 15 min
0.00
53%
Takedown defense
57%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.77Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nikita KrylovBogdan Guskov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Bogdan Guskov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.2-19.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Nikita Krylov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Bogdan Guskov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6