Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Reyes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupNikita Krylov: WrestlervsDominick Reyes: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Nikita Krylov wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Dominick Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Reyes has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Nikita Krylov
Red Corner
VS
Dominick Reyes
Blue Corner
-152
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+128
(44%)
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 22W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Oct 22W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26Dominick Reyes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · May 21L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricDominick Reyes
4.36
Strikes / min
4.99
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
47%
Strike defense
49%
2.05
TDs / 15 min
0.25
53%
Takedown defense
82%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.77evenly matched on net striking+1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nikita KrylovDominick Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Dominick Reyes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.1-14.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+637.0-637.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Nikita Krylov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Dominick Reyes
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13