Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Misha Cirkunov won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2016·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupNikita Krylov: WrestlervsMisha Cirkunov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Nikita Krylov wins(62.4%)
Actual result: Misha Cirkunov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Nikita Krylov has lost 44% of fights by sub.
- Misha Cirkunov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Nikita Krylov
Red Corner
VS
Misha Cirkunov
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
34
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →latest
W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Oct 22W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26Misha CirkunovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricMisha Cirkunov
4.36
Strikes / min
3.86
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
47%
Strike defense
57%
2.05
TDs / 15 min
4.15
53%
Takedown defense
76%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.77evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Nikita KrylovMisha Cirkunov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.2-20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Nikita Krylov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Misha Cirkunov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13