Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mike Wilkinson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Model Prediction: Niklas Backstrom wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Mike Wilkinson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Wilkinson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Niklas Backstrom has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Niklas Backstrom threatens submissions; Mike Wilkinson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Niklas Backstrom has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Wilkinson (52.9%).
- Niklas Backstrom has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Niklas Backstrom
Red Corner
VS
Mike Wilkinson
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+650
(13%)
36
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas Backstrom
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tom Niinimaki · May 14L
vs Noad Lahat · Jun 15Mike WilkinsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brendan Loughnane · Dec 12L
SUBvs Rony Jason · Jun 13L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas BackstromMetricMike Wilkinson
1.12
Strikes / min
2.35
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.70
40%
Strike defense
35%
2.92
TDs / 15 min
0.92
72%
Takedown defense
55%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.53Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Niklas BackstromMike Wilkinson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Backstrom(3 fights)Mike Wilkinson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.7-13.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-357.0357.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Niklas Backstrom
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach—
Fights3
Mike Wilkinson
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4