Lightweight
3 Rounds
Benoit Saint Denis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Benoit Saint Denis threatens submissions; Niklas Stolze has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Niklas Stolze (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Niklas Stolze
Red Corner
VS
Benoit Saint Denis
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
33
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas StolzeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ramazan Emeev · Jul 20L
KOvs Jared Gooden · Jul 21Benoit Saint DenisW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas StolzeMetricBenoit Saint Denis
2.12
Strikes / min
5.62
2.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
49%
Strike defense
42%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
4.19
55%
Takedown defense
72%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Niklas StolzeBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Stolze(3 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.022.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Niklas Stolze
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Benoit Saint Denis
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12