Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Gooden threatens submissions; Niklas Stolze has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Niklas Stolze (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas StolzeL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ramazan Emeev · Jul 20L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jun 22 Jared Gooden
oldest →L
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Mar 21L
vs Carlston Harris · Mar 23W
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Dec 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas StolzeMetricJared Gooden
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.13Δ 2.21 — meaningful gap-2.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Niklas StolzeJared Gooden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Stolze(3 fights)Jared Gooden(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -71.8|Blue +71.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +245.0|Blue -245.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Niklas StolzeTargetJared Gooden
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jared Gooden edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:21Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
