Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jared Gooden won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 31, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jared Gooden wins(59.1%)
Actual result: Jared Gooden wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Gooden threatens submissions; Niklas Stolze has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Niklas Stolze (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Niklas Stolze
Red Corner
VS
Jared Gooden
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
33
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas StolzeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ramazan Emeev · Jul 20L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jun 22Jared Gooden
oldest →latest
L
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Mar 21L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 21L
vs Carlston Harris · Mar 23W
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Dec 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas StolzeMetricJared Gooden
2.12
Strikes / min
4.40
2.25
Strikes absorbed / min
6.74
49%
Strike defense
45%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
0.91
55%
Takedown defense
65%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 2.21 — meaningful gap-2.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Niklas StolzeJared Gooden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Stolze(3 fights)Jared Gooden(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.1-19.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+245.0-245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Niklas Stolze
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Jared Gooden
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7