Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jacobe Smith won · SUB R2
NP
JS
Niko PricevsJacobe Smith
UFC Event · Saturday, June 28, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupNiko Price: Pressure fightervsJacobe Smith: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jacobe Smith wins(70.8%)
Actual result: Jacobe Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jacobe Smith is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Jacobe Smith has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jacobe Smith (53.5%).
- Niko Price has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Niko Price
Red Corner
VS
Jacobe Smith
Blue Corner
+1100
(8%)
Vegas Odds
-2200
(96%)
36
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niko PriceL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 23W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26Jacobe SmithW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Preston Parsons · Jan 25W
KOvs Josiah Harrell · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niko PriceMetricJacobe Smith
5.11
Strikes / min
6.89
5.57
Strikes absorbed / min
2.78
48%
Strike defense
47%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
7.78
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46Δ 4.57 — meaningful gap+4.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Niko PriceJacobe Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niko Price(10 fights)Jacobe Smith(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.38.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
Niko Price
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Jacobe Smith
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3