Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Frankie Saenz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 16, 2014·Bangor, Maine, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Nolan Ticman wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Frankie Saenz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nolan Ticman has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Nolan Ticman
Red Corner
VS
Frankie Saenz
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
38
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nolan Ticman
oldest →latest
L
vs Yao Zhikui · May 15Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nolan TicmanMetricFrankie Saenz
2.57
Strikes / min
3.94
2.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
67%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.74
60%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nolan Ticman(2 fights)Frankie Saenz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Nolan Ticman
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10